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Track Record
Our top HR picks, locked before first pitch and graded after the games.
Every day the model’s top 20 are frozen before the first pitch and graded once games go final — the hits and the misses. The list can’t be edited after lock, so this is an honest, timestamped record of how the picks actually perform.
Top 5 HR rate
16%
47 of 295 bats homered
Top 20 HR rate
15%
182 of 1178 homered
Days tracked
59
graded slates
A home run is the single hardest outcome to predict and the longest-priced bet on any board, so a top-5strike rate this high reflects genuine edges on the day’s best bats, not coin flips.