
Saturday, July 25 · Rain-delay risk and HR boost at first pitch · tap a game for the 4-hour forecast
Retractable roof — conditions apply only if open
Retractable roof — conditions apply only if open
Retractable roof — conditions apply only if open
Temperature across today's slate runs from the upper 60s at Oracle Park all the way up to 99 degrees inside Globe Life Field, with Busch Stadium and Target Field also sitting at 94. The most notable wind situations are Oracle Park at 19 mph blowing out to center and Citizens Bank Park at 11 mph blowing in, with Fenway also seeing an 11 mph wind coming in from left. The parks where conditions most help home runs are Globe Life Field, Busch Stadium, and Target Field. Globe Life is a closed-roof, climate-controlled environment, so the 10 mph crosswind is essentially a non-factor, but the model still stamps it a Strong Boost, driven entirely by that 99-degree indoor heat and the park's Low wind receptiveness confirming the wind can be ignored. Busch Stadium pairs 94-degree air with calm wind and a Medium-receptive, Large outfield, and the model gives it a Strong Boost as well. Target Field checks in at 94 degrees with a light 3 mph crosswind that is neutral for carry, and it also earns a Strong Boost. On the Slight Boost tier, Nationals Park at 86 degrees, PNC Park at 84, Camden Yards at 84, American Family Field at 85, loanDepot park at 85, and Comerica Park at 81 all offer warm-to-hot air with winds that are either neutral for carry or, at Low and None receptiveness parks, largely irrelevant. Oracle Park's 19 mph out-to-center wind looks exciting on paper, but the park carries a Low wind receptiveness rating, meaning the walls and geography muffle that effect considerably, and the model confirms it with a Neutral grade despite the impressive speed and direction. Citizens Bank Park is the one spot to watch for suppression, with an 11 mph wind blowing in at a Very High receptive park with a Small outfield, a real drag that the model also calls Neutral. No rain delays are flagged on today's slate, so every outdoor game should go off as scheduled.