HR Rankings

Tuesday, June 9 · Monte Carlo simulation

Top HR Candidates Today

HR Rankings

Tuesday, June 9 · Monte Carlo simulation

Top HR Candidates Today

Updated 10:04 PM ET

Dillon DinglerTigersC · RHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs BradleyMINRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.07(vs RHB)

Comerica Park · 6:40 PM75°F · 3mph N

7.3% Barrel / 44% HH. 6 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (42% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.265 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.171 ISO / 0.330 wOBA / 53.8% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Hunter GoodmanRockiesC · RHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 20251 HR vs Rea

vs ReaCHCRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.72(vs RHB)

Coors Field · 8:40 PM81°F · 7mph NW

12.7% Barrel / 47% HH. 8.1% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 7 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Slider (17% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.316 ISO · B: 5 HR / 0.516 ISO / 0.465 wOBA / 25.0% FB

Sinker (21% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.261 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.143 ISO / 0.515 wOBA / 27.3% FB

4-Seam FB (35% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.133 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.159 ISO / 0.238 wOBA / 50.0% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Yordan AlvarezAstrosDH · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025Slight LHB Suppression

vs UreñaLAA?HPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.32(vs LHB)

Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM71°F · 6mph SW

13.8% Barrel / 55% HH. 7 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Changeup (43% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.118 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.207 ISO / 0.406 wOBA / 37.5% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

James WoodNationalsRF · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 20251 HR vs HouserSlight LHB Suppression

vs HouserSFRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.96(vs LHB)

Oracle Park · 9:45 PM65°F · 14mph W

17.1% Barrel / 56% HH. 4 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sinker (42% use) — P: 5 HR / 0.373 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.308 ISO / 0.475 wOBA / 40.0% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Jake BauersBrewers1B · LHB

vs GinnOAKRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.28(vs LHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

13.4% Barrel / 46% HH. Pitcher allows 28.6% HR/FB vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Slider (13% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.333 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.318 ISO / 0.344 wOBA / 50.0% FB

Sinker (24% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.176 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.333 ISO / 0.406 wOBA / 10.0% FB

Cutter (19% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.313 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.857 ISO / 0.813 wOBA / 60.0% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Zach NetoAngelsSS · RHBWeak Spot · 2025Slight RHB Boost

vs TengHOURHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.39(vs RHB)

Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM71°F · 6mph SW

12.3% Barrel / 45% HH. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sweeper (43% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.068 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.130 ISO / 0.208 wOBA / 46.2% FB

ELITE

34.0%

HR chance

Shea LangeliersAthleticsC · RHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.98(vs RHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

11.6% Barrel / 43% HH. Pitcher allows 20.0% HR/FB vs RHB. 5 HR over L15.

ELITE

33.3%

HR chance

Byron BuxtonTwinsCF · RHB

vs MeltonDETRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.00(vs RHB)

Comerica Park · 6:40 PM75°F · 3mph N

17.2% Barrel / 53% HH. 10.7% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 4 HR over L15.

ELITE

32.8%

HR chance

Julio RodríguezMarinersCF · RHB10 HR vs RogersExtreme RHB Suppression

vs RogersBALLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.60(vs RHB)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM72°F · 5mph SE

12.4% Barrel / 50% HH. 8.3% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 10 HR vs this pitcher in career H2H. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (44% use) — P: 4 HR / 0.254 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.138 ISO / 0.316 wOBA / 36.4% FB

Sweeper (11% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.286 ISO · B: 0 HR / — ISO / — wOBA / 0.0% FB

Changeup (27% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.120 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.400 ISO / 0.447 wOBA / 30.8% FB

ELITE

32.3%

HR chance

#10

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCubsCF · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025

vs SuganoCOLRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 2.55(vs LHB)

Coors Field · 8:40 PM81°F · 7mph NW

13.3% Barrel / 45% HH. Pitcher allows 17.1% HR/FB vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Cutter (12% use) — P: 3 HR / 0.688 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.000 ISO / 0.175 wOBA / 50.0% FB

4-Seam FB (23% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.310 ISO · B: 3 HR / 0.193 ISO / 0.308 wOBA / 40.5% FB

Slider (12% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.364 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.429 ISO / 0.578 wOBA / 41.7% FB

Splitter (24% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.156 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.438 ISO / 0.494 wOBA / 35.7% FB

ELITE

31.9%

HR chance

#11

Mike TroutAngelsCF · RHBWeak Spot · 2026Slight RHB Boost

vs TengHOURHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.39(vs RHB)

Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM71°F · 6mph SW

16.5% Barrel / 49% HH. 2 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sweeper (43% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.068 ISO · B: 3 HR / 0.643 ISO / 0.529 wOBA / 60.0% FB

ELITE

31.7%

HR chance

#12

Andrew BenintendiSoxDH · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025

vs HolmesATLRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.99(vs LHB)

Rate Field · 7:40 PM77°F · 1mph SW

11.7% Barrel / 40% HH. 8.8% Barrel allowed vs LHB. 3 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (35% use) — P: 4 HR / 0.350 ISO · B: 4 HR / 0.283 ISO / 0.395 wOBA / 42.9% FB

Slider (36% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.164 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.192 ISO / 0.319 wOBA / 46.7% FB

ELITE

31.4%

HR chance

#13

Kody ClemensTwins1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs MeltonDETRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.69(vs LHB)

Comerica Park · 6:40 PM75°F · 3mph N

12.3% Barrel / 50% HH. Pitcher allows 14.3% HR/FB vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (45% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.190 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.159 ISO / 0.313 wOBA / 43.8% FB

ELITE

30.5%

HR chance

#14

Marcus SemienMets2B · RHBWeak Spot · 2026Moderate RHB Boost

vs MaySTLRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.32(vs RHB)

Citi Field · 7:10 PM67°F · 8mph S

8.2% Barrel / 35% HH. 8.9% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sinker (40% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.140 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.250 ISO / 0.407 wOBA / 25.7% FB

ELITE

29.4%

HR chance

#15

Tyler SoderstromAthleticsLF · LHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.00(vs LHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

9.1% Barrel / 41% HH. 16.7% Barrel allowed vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

ELITE

29.4%

HR chance

#16

Matt OlsonBraves1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2025

vs EisertCWSLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.48(vs LHB)

Rate Field · 7:40 PM77°F · 1mph SW

13.0% Barrel / 49% HH. 1.41 HR/9 vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (41% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.300 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.200 ISO / 0.304 wOBA / 20.0% FB

ELITE

28.7%

HR chance

#17

Nick KurtzAthletics1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2025

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.00(vs LHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

11.6% Barrel / 37% HH. 16.7% Barrel allowed vs LHB. 6 HR over L15.

ELITE

28.6%

HR chance

#18

Jonah HeimAthleticsC · SHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.98(vs RHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

7.4% Barrel / 46% HH. Pitcher allows 20.0% HR/FB vs RHB. 4 HR over L15.

ELITE

27.8%

HR chance

#19

Mitch GarverMarinersC · RHB10 HR vs RogersExtreme RHB Suppression

vs RogersBALLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.60(vs RHB)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM72°F · 5mph SE

8.0% Barrel / 49% HH. 8.3% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 10 HR vs this pitcher in career H2H. 3 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (44% use) — P: 4 HR / 0.254 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.000 ISO / 0.357 wOBA / 35.7% FB

Sweeper (11% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.286 ISO · B: 0 HR / — ISO / — wOBA / 0.0% FB

Changeup (27% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.120 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.200 ISO / 0.250 wOBA / 66.7% FB

ELITE

27.5%

HR chance

#20

Luis García Jr.Nationals1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025Slight LHB Suppression

vs HouserSFRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.96(vs LHB)

Oracle Park · 9:45 PM65°F · 14mph W

10.2% Barrel / 48% HH. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sinker (42% use) — P: 5 HR / 0.373 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.190 ISO / 0.260 wOBA / 20.0% FB

ELITE

26.8%

HR chance

Updated 10:04 PM ET

Dillon DinglerTigersC · RHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs BradleyMINRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.07(vs RHB)

Comerica Park · 6:40 PM75°F · 3mph N

7.3% Barrel / 44% HH. 6 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (42% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.265 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.171 ISO / 0.330 wOBA / 53.8% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Hunter GoodmanRockiesC · RHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 20251 HR vs Rea

vs ReaCHCRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.72(vs RHB)

Coors Field · 8:40 PM81°F · 7mph NW

12.7% Barrel / 47% HH. 8.1% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 7 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Slider (17% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.316 ISO · B: 5 HR / 0.516 ISO / 0.465 wOBA / 25.0% FB

Sinker (21% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.261 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.143 ISO / 0.515 wOBA / 27.3% FB

4-Seam FB (35% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.133 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.159 ISO / 0.238 wOBA / 50.0% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Yordan AlvarezAstrosDH · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025Slight LHB Suppression

vs UreñaLAA?HPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.32(vs LHB)

Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM71°F · 6mph SW

13.8% Barrel / 55% HH. 7 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Changeup (43% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.118 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.207 ISO / 0.406 wOBA / 37.5% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

James WoodNationalsRF · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 20251 HR vs HouserSlight LHB Suppression

vs HouserSFRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.96(vs LHB)

Oracle Park · 9:45 PM65°F · 14mph W

17.1% Barrel / 56% HH. 4 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sinker (42% use) — P: 5 HR / 0.373 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.308 ISO / 0.475 wOBA / 40.0% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Jake BauersBrewers1B · LHB

vs GinnOAKRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.28(vs LHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

13.4% Barrel / 46% HH. Pitcher allows 28.6% HR/FB vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Slider (13% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.333 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.318 ISO / 0.344 wOBA / 50.0% FB

Sinker (24% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.176 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.333 ISO / 0.406 wOBA / 10.0% FB

Cutter (19% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.313 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.857 ISO / 0.813 wOBA / 60.0% FB

ELITE

34.4%

HR chance

Zach NetoAngelsSS · RHBWeak Spot · 2025Slight RHB Boost

vs TengHOURHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.39(vs RHB)

Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM71°F · 6mph SW

12.3% Barrel / 45% HH. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sweeper (43% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.068 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.130 ISO / 0.208 wOBA / 46.2% FB

ELITE

34.0%

HR chance

Shea LangeliersAthleticsC · RHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.98(vs RHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

11.6% Barrel / 43% HH. Pitcher allows 20.0% HR/FB vs RHB. 5 HR over L15.

ELITE

33.3%

HR chance

Byron BuxtonTwinsCF · RHB

vs MeltonDETRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.00(vs RHB)

Comerica Park · 6:40 PM75°F · 3mph N

17.2% Barrel / 53% HH. 10.7% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 4 HR over L15.

ELITE

32.8%

HR chance

Julio RodríguezMarinersCF · RHB10 HR vs RogersExtreme RHB Suppression

vs RogersBALLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.60(vs RHB)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM72°F · 5mph SE

12.4% Barrel / 50% HH. 8.3% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 10 HR vs this pitcher in career H2H. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (44% use) — P: 4 HR / 0.254 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.138 ISO / 0.316 wOBA / 36.4% FB

Sweeper (11% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.286 ISO · B: 0 HR / — ISO / — wOBA / 0.0% FB

Changeup (27% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.120 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.400 ISO / 0.447 wOBA / 30.8% FB

ELITE

32.3%

HR chance

#10

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCubsCF · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025

vs SuganoCOLRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 2.55(vs LHB)

Coors Field · 8:40 PM81°F · 7mph NW

13.3% Barrel / 45% HH. Pitcher allows 17.1% HR/FB vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Cutter (12% use) — P: 3 HR / 0.688 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.000 ISO / 0.175 wOBA / 50.0% FB

4-Seam FB (23% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.310 ISO · B: 3 HR / 0.193 ISO / 0.308 wOBA / 40.5% FB

Slider (12% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.364 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.429 ISO / 0.578 wOBA / 41.7% FB

Splitter (24% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.156 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.438 ISO / 0.494 wOBA / 35.7% FB

ELITE

31.9%

HR chance

#11

Mike TroutAngelsCF · RHBWeak Spot · 2026Slight RHB Boost

vs TengHOURHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.39(vs RHB)

Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM71°F · 6mph SW

16.5% Barrel / 49% HH. 2 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sweeper (43% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.068 ISO · B: 3 HR / 0.643 ISO / 0.529 wOBA / 60.0% FB

ELITE

31.7%

HR chance

#12

Andrew BenintendiSoxDH · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025

vs HolmesATLRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.99(vs LHB)

Rate Field · 7:40 PM77°F · 1mph SW

11.7% Barrel / 40% HH. 8.8% Barrel allowed vs LHB. 3 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (35% use) — P: 4 HR / 0.350 ISO · B: 4 HR / 0.283 ISO / 0.395 wOBA / 42.9% FB

Slider (36% use) — P: 2 HR / 0.164 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.192 ISO / 0.319 wOBA / 46.7% FB

ELITE

31.4%

HR chance

#13

Kody ClemensTwins1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs MeltonDETRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.69(vs LHB)

Comerica Park · 6:40 PM75°F · 3mph N

12.3% Barrel / 50% HH. Pitcher allows 14.3% HR/FB vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (45% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.190 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.159 ISO / 0.313 wOBA / 43.8% FB

ELITE

30.5%

HR chance

#14

Marcus SemienMets2B · RHBWeak Spot · 2026Moderate RHB Boost

vs MaySTLRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.32(vs RHB)

Citi Field · 7:10 PM67°F · 8mph S

8.2% Barrel / 35% HH. 8.9% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sinker (40% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.140 ISO · B: 2 HR / 0.250 ISO / 0.407 wOBA / 25.7% FB

ELITE

29.4%

HR chance

#15

Tyler SoderstromAthleticsLF · LHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.00(vs LHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

9.1% Barrel / 41% HH. 16.7% Barrel allowed vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

ELITE

29.4%

HR chance

#16

Matt OlsonBraves1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2025

vs EisertCWSLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.48(vs LHB)

Rate Field · 7:40 PM77°F · 1mph SW

13.0% Barrel / 49% HH. 1.41 HR/9 vs LHB. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (41% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.300 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.200 ISO / 0.304 wOBA / 20.0% FB

ELITE

28.7%

HR chance

#17

Nick KurtzAthletics1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2025

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 0.00(vs LHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

11.6% Barrel / 37% HH. 16.7% Barrel allowed vs LHB. 6 HR over L15.

ELITE

28.6%

HR chance

#18

Jonah HeimAthleticsC · SHBWeak Spot · 2026

vs GasserMILLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.98(vs RHB)

Las Vegas Ballpark · 10:05 PM

7.4% Barrel / 46% HH. Pitcher allows 20.0% HR/FB vs RHB. 4 HR over L15.

ELITE

27.8%

HR chance

#19

Mitch GarverMarinersC · RHB10 HR vs RogersExtreme RHB Suppression

vs RogersBALLHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.60(vs RHB)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM72°F · 5mph SE

8.0% Barrel / 49% HH. 8.3% Barrel allowed vs RHB. 10 HR vs this pitcher in career H2H. 3 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

4-Seam FB (44% use) — P: 4 HR / 0.254 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.000 ISO / 0.357 wOBA / 35.7% FB

Sweeper (11% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.286 ISO · B: 0 HR / — ISO / — wOBA / 0.0% FB

Changeup (27% use) — P: 1 HR / 0.120 ISO · B: 0 HR / 0.200 ISO / 0.250 wOBA / 66.7% FB

ELITE

27.5%

HR chance

#20

Luis García Jr.Nationals1B · LHBWeak Spot · 2026 · 2025Slight LHB Suppression

vs HouserSFRHPERA -.-- · HR/9 1.96(vs LHB)

Oracle Park · 9:45 PM65°F · 14mph W

10.2% Barrel / 48% HH. 5 HR over L15.

Vulnerable pitches

Sinker (42% use) — P: 5 HR / 0.373 ISO · B: 1 HR / 0.190 ISO / 0.260 wOBA / 20.0% FB

ELITE

26.8%

HR chance