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Esmerlyn Valdez Home Run Odds Today · Dinger Data

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Esmerlyn Valdez

Matchup signals

Pittsburgh PiratesRFRHB · #55

Opponent

PHI

Pitcher

Nola

HR/9

1.46

Stats

Simulator

Home Run Performance · Last 5 Games

AVG 0.6

—

2025

Full Season HR

Home Runs Projection

Projection, line, over/under, and book odds for home runs tonight.

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Stats

0.262

AVG

0.311

OBP

0.690

SLG

1.001

OPS

5

HR

40.0%

K%

6.7%

BB%

8

Barrels

16

Hard-Hit

Season Splits

Split	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	K%
vs LHP	16	.267	.313	.933	1.246	3	31.3%
vs RHP	29	.259	.310	.556	.866	2	44.8%
Home	28	.346	.393	.885	1.278	4	35.7%
Away	17	.125	.176	.375	.551	1	47.1%
Day Games	14	.385	.429	1.154	1.583	3	42.9%
Night Games	31	.207	.258	.483	.741	2	38.7%
June	27	.346	.370	.808	1.178	3	33.3%
Monday	4	.000	.000	.000	.000	0	25.0%

Today's Matchup

6:40 PM · Citizens Bank Park

Opposing Pitcher

Aaron NolaPHIRHP

6 HR allowed

-.--

ERA

1.13

WHIP

1.46

HR/9

31.8%

FB%

25.8%

K%

1.3%

BB%

17.1%

HR/FB%

9.1%

Barrel%

Pitch Arsenal · Nola · vs RHB

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

Knuckle-Curve

78.5 mph

2

0.190

0.229

0.302

0.111

19.0%

31.7%

Sinker

91.5 mph

3

0.324

0.391

0.595

0.270

34.5%

21.6%

4-Seam FB

92.1 mph

1

0.304

0.407

0.652

0.348

50.0%

39.1%

Cutter

86.1 mph

0

0.444

0.471

0.611

0.167

47.1%

5.3%

Changeup

85.2 mph

0

0.200

0.267

0.200

0.000

50.0%

16.7%

Slider

83.0 mph

0

—

—

—

—

50.0%

—

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Career H2H vs Nola

No career H2H history found

Valdez vs Each Pitch

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

4-Seam FB

96.2 mph

1

0.273

0.404

0.636

0.364

75.0%

58.3%

Sinker

92.3 mph

0

—

—

—

—

66.7%

—

Sweeper

82.3 mph

1

0.200

0.400

0.800

0.600

25.0%

20.0%

Slider

85.8 mph

0

—

—

—

—

50.0%

—

Cutter

89.1 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Curveball

83.2 mph

0

—

—

—

—

100.0%

—

Splitter

84.5 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Knuckle-Curve

84.7 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Changeup

90.0 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Esmerlyn Valdez Exit Velocity

Balls in play only

Count

Arm

Pitch

90.5

L10 AB AVG EV (MPH)

30.0%

L10 AB BARREL%

94.5

'26 AVG EV (MPH)

33.3%

'26 BARREL%

Date	Pitcher	Arm	Type	EV	Angle	Dist	Bat Spd	Pitch Velo	Result
6/28	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	Sinker	102.4	-2.0	29	77.7	91.1	single
6/28	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	Sweeper	61.8	-23.0	6	73.5	80.9	field out
6/28	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	Slider	100.9	24.0	336	77.9	81.3	double
6/28	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	4-Seam FB	109.8	32.0	461	81.2	94.8	home run
6/26	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	Curveball	96.6	1.0	51	67.9	86.8	single
6/24	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	4-Seam FB	106.8	22.0	400	75.1	96.2	single
6/24	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	4-Seam FB	102.7	20.0	347	79.4	98.1	double
6/15	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	Sinker	61.1	-55.0	2	74.3	92.4	grounded into double play
6/15	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	4-Seam FB	93.2	25.0	324	79.1	94.6	field out
6/15	Valdez, Esmerlyn	R	Sweeper	69.9	80.0	51	74.6	80.2	field out

Recent Form · Last 10 Games

Avg PA 2.7

2

vs LAD

6/11

1

vs MIA

6/12

4

@ OAK

6/15

1

@ OAK

6/17

3

@ COL

6/19

3

vs SEA

6/24

3

vs SEA

6/25

4

vs CIN

6/26

1

vs CIN

6/27

5

vs CIN

6/28

Avg Singles 0.3

0

vs LAD

6/11

0

vs MIA

6/12

0

@ OAK

6/15

0

@ OAK

6/17

0

@ COL

6/19

1

vs SEA

6/24

0

vs SEA

6/25

1

vs CIN

6/26

0

vs CIN

6/27

1

vs CIN

6/28

Avg Doubles 0.3

0

vs LAD

6/11

0

vs MIA

6/12

0

@ OAK

6/15

0

@ OAK

6/17

1

@ COL

6/19

1

vs SEA

6/24

0

vs SEA

6/25

0

vs CIN

6/26

0

vs CIN

6/27

1

vs CIN

6/28

Avg Strikeouts 0.9

0

vs LAD

6/11

1

vs MIA

6/12

1

@ OAK

6/15

1

@ OAK

6/17

1

@ COL

6/19

1

vs SEA

6/24

3

vs SEA

6/25

1

vs CIN

6/26

0

vs CIN

6/27

0

vs CIN

6/28

Avg Total Bases 2.1

0

vs LAD

6/11

0

vs MIA

6/12

0

@ OAK

6/15

0

@ OAK

6/17

2

@ COL

6/19

3

vs SEA

6/24

0

vs SEA

6/25

5

vs CIN

6/26

4

vs CIN

6/27

7

vs CIN

6/28

Avg Walks 0.1

0

vs LAD

6/11

0

vs MIA

6/12

0

@ OAK

6/15

0

@ OAK

6/17

0

@ COL

6/19

0

vs SEA

6/24

0

vs SEA

6/25

0

vs CIN

6/26

0

vs CIN

6/27

1

vs CIN

6/28