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Nathan Lukes Home Run Odds Today · Dinger Data

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Nathan Lukes

Matchup signals

Toronto Blue JaysRFLHB · #38

Opponent

NYM

Pitcher

Manaea

HR/9

0.85

Stats

Simulator

Home Run Performance · Last 5 Games

AVG 0.4

12

2025

Full Season HR

Home Runs Projection

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Stats

0.306

AVG

0.346

OBP

0.531

SLG

0.877

OPS

3

HR

19.2%

K%

5.8%

BB%

1

Barrels

8

Hard-Hit

Season Splits

Split	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	K%
vs LHP	29	.120	.241	.120	.361	0	24.1%
vs RHP	141	.346	.381	.500	.881	4	14.2%
Home	92	.271	.326	.376	.702	2	23.9%
Away	76	.357	.395	.514	.909	2	6.6%
Day Games	78	.278	.321	.444	.765	2	16.7%
Night Games	92	.337	.389	.434	.823	2	15.2%
June	88	.317	.364	.488	.852	4	17.0%
Monday	16	.400	.438	.400	.838	0	25.0%

Today's Matchup

7:07 PM · Rogers Centre

Opposing Pitcher

Sean ManaeaNYMLHP

2 HR allowed

-.--

ERA

1.06

WHIP

0.85

HR/9

19.6%

FB%

32.6%

K%

3.4%

BB%

18.2%

HR/FB%

5.4%

Barrel%

Pitch Arsenal · Manaea · vs LHB

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

Sweeper

75.8 mph

1

0.152

0.243

0.273

0.121

38.5%

58.8%

Sinker

90.6 mph

0

0.300

0.293

0.367

0.067

29.6%

10.0%

4-Seam FB

90.4 mph

1

0.316

0.402

0.526

0.211

42.9%

23.8%

Cutter

84.6 mph

0

—

—

—

—

0.0%

—

Changeup

82.8 mph

0

—

—

—

—

0.0%

—

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Career H2H vs Manaea

AB	AVG	SLG	HR	OPS
3	.000	.000	0	.000

Lukes vs Each Pitch

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

Sinker

95.6 mph

0

0.125

0.230

0.125

0.000

0.0%

20.0%

Slider

84.7 mph

0

0.111

0.160

0.111

0.000

12.5%

10.0%

4-Seam FB

95.5 mph

0

0.200

0.267

0.200

0.000

0.0%

33.3%

Sweeper

82.8 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Cutter

88.3 mph

0

—

—

—

—

0.0%

—

Changeup

84.4 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Curveball

77.9 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Nathan Lukes Exit Velocity

Balls in play only

Count

Arm

Pitch

75.4

L10 AB AVG EV (MPH)

0.0%

L10 AB BARREL%

85.1

'26 AVG EV (MPH)

1.5%

'26 BARREL%

Date	Pitcher	Arm	Type	EV	Angle	Dist	Bat Spd	Pitch Velo	Result
6/27	Lukes, Nathan	L	Slider	96.6	5.0	114	68.4	86.1	force out
6/25	Lukes, Nathan	L	Slider	77.9	-12.0	7	67.9	84.4	field out
6/20	Lukes, Nathan	L	Sinker	89.0	-10.0	10	—	95.5	grounded into double play
6/18	Lukes, Nathan	L	4-Seam FB	38.2	75.0	43	—	97.2	field out
6/17	Lukes, Nathan	L	4-Seam FB	90.4	16.0	229	63.5	90.6	single
6/16	Lukes, Nathan	L	Cutter	52.8	-62.0	1	65.9	87.4	field out
6/16	Lukes, Nathan	L	4-Seam FB	86.4	25.0	299	55.5	97.3	field out
6/14	Lukes, Nathan	L	Slider	72.5	54.0	182	58.0	83.5	field out
6/12	Lukes, Nathan	L	Sinker	59.2	-23.0	5	56.5	96.6	field out
6/10	Lukes, Nathan	L	Sinker	91.1	3.0	71	68.5	95.3	single

Recent Form · Last 10 Games

Avg PA 3.4

4

@ BOS

6/18

3

@ CHC

6/19

3

@ CHC

6/20

5

vs HOU

6/22

2

vs HOU

6/23

3

vs HOU

6/24

3

vs TEX

6/25

3

vs TEX

6/26

4

vs TEX

6/27

4

vs TEX

6/28

Avg Singles 0.5

0

@ BOS

6/18

0

@ CHC

6/19

0

@ CHC

6/20

1

vs HOU

6/22

0

vs HOU

6/23

0

vs HOU

6/24

0

vs TEX

6/25

1

vs TEX

6/26

2

vs TEX

6/27

1

vs TEX

6/28

Avg Doubles 0.1

0

@ BOS

6/18

1

@ CHC

6/19

0

@ CHC

6/20

0

vs HOU

6/22

0

vs HOU

6/23

0

vs HOU

6/24

0

vs TEX

6/25

0

vs TEX

6/26

0

vs TEX

6/27

0

vs TEX

6/28

Avg Strikeouts 0.5

0

@ BOS

6/18

0

@ CHC

6/19

0

@ CHC

6/20

2

vs HOU

6/22

1

vs HOU

6/23

0

vs HOU

6/24

1

vs TEX

6/25

0

vs TEX

6/26

0

vs TEX

6/27

1

vs TEX

6/28

Avg Total Bases 1.9

4

@ BOS

6/18

2

@ CHC

6/19

0

@ CHC

6/20

1

vs HOU

6/22

0

vs HOU

6/23

4

vs HOU

6/24

0

vs TEX

6/25

1

vs TEX

6/26

2

vs TEX

6/27

5

vs TEX

6/28

Avg Walks 0.2

0

@ BOS

6/18

0

@ CHC

6/19

0

@ CHC

6/20

0

vs HOU

6/22

0

vs HOU

6/23

0

vs HOU

6/24

1

vs TEX

6/25

0

vs TEX

6/26

1

vs TEX

6/27

0

vs TEX

6/28