DingerData

Matt Chapman Home Run Odds Today · Dinger Data

Dinger Dude Insight

Subscribers get the full AI matchup breakdown here — the read on today’s spot, the pitches to attack, and the weather and park context.

Upgrade to unlock →

Matt Chapman

Matchup signals

San Francisco Giants3BRHB · #26

Opponent

ARI

Pitcher

Rodriguez

HR/9

1.06

Stats

Simulator

Home Run Performance · Last 5 Games

21

2025

Full Season HR

Home Runs Projection

Projection, line, over/under, and book odds for home runs tonight.

Unlock projections

Stats

0.192

AVG

0.306

OBP

0.404

SLG

0.710

OPS

3

HR

32.3%

K%

12.9%

BB%

5

Barrels

15

Hard-Hit

Season Splits

Split	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	K%
vs LHP	92	.260	.380	.416	.796	2	21.7%
vs RHP	252	.234	.313	.365	.678	5	23.4%
Home	159	.275	.403	.435	.838	3	20.1%
Away	185	.214	.270	.333	.603	4	25.4%
Day Games	138	.308	.399	.547	.946	5	19.6%
Night Games	206	.198	.286	.269	.555	2	25.2%
June	99	.266	.384	.532	.916	6	24.2%
Monday	28	.240	.321	.440	.761	1	14.3%

Today's Matchup

9:40 PM · Chase Field

Opposing Pitcher

Eduardo RodriguezARILHP

8 HR allowed

-.--

ERA

1.29

WHIP

1.06

HR/9

33.3%

FB%

17.5%

K%

10.9%

BB%

11.8%

HR/FB%

7.8%

Barrel%

Pitch Arsenal · Rodriguez · vs RHB

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

4-Seam FB

92.0 mph

3

0.231

0.328

0.418

0.187

43.1%

31.7%

Changeup

86.0 mph

3

0.212

0.289

0.365

0.154

23.4%

8.7%

Cutter

88.4 mph

2

0.269

0.366

0.538

0.269

40.9%

14.3%

Curveball

78.6 mph

0

0.292

0.308

0.375

0.083

45.8%

0.0%

Sinker

92.1 mph

0

0.000

0.215

0.000

0.000

50.0%

23.1%

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Career H2H vs Rodriguez

AB	AVG	SLG	HR	OPS
24	.333	.625	1	1.039

Chapman vs Each Pitch

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

4-Seam FB

93.2 mph

0

0.150

0.281

0.150

0.000

30.0%

37.0%

Sinker

94.2 mph

1

0.294

0.403

0.529

0.235

28.6%

15.0%

Slider

84.8 mph

0

0.333

0.436

0.556

0.222

50.0%

9.1%

Changeup

84.2 mph

0

0.375

0.436

0.563

0.188

69.2%

16.7%

Curveball

78.8 mph

1

0.286

0.414

0.714

0.429

33.3%

14.3%

Sweeper

80.6 mph

0

0.200

0.180

0.200

0.000

25.0%

20.0%

Cutter

89.2 mph

0

—

—

—

—

0.0%

—

Splitter

86.5 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

SV

82.4 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Matt Chapman Exit Velocity

Balls in play only

Count

Arm

Pitch

94.0

L10 AB AVG EV (MPH)

10.0%

L10 AB BARREL%

88.4

'26 AVG EV (MPH)

6.7%

'26 BARREL%

Date	Pitcher	Arm	Type	EV	Angle	Dist	Bat Spd	Pitch Velo	Result
6/28	Chapman, Matt	L	4-Seam FB	89.4	10.0	142	78.2	95.1	single
6/28	Chapman, Matt	L	4-Seam FB	90.1	73.0	127	77.3	96.2	field out
6/25	Chapman, Matt	L	Changeup	96.1	-4.0	23	72.2	80.5	field out
6/25	Chapman, Matt	L	Changeup	97.0	14.0	207	81.2	77.3	single
6/24	Chapman, Matt	L	Slider	80.7	6.0	98	66.5	87.8	double play
6/20	Chapman, Matt	L	Slider	94.1	10.0	168	78.8	87.2	field out
6/19	Chapman, Matt	L	Changeup	97.3	32.0	357	76.4	85.6	field out
6/16	Chapman, Matt	L	Sinker	89.3	50.0	262	83.5	93.7	field out
6/14	Chapman, Matt	L	Slider	99.5	-2.0	37	80.9	85.1	field out
6/10	Chapman, Matt	L	Curveball	107.0	22.0	421	78.7	78.2	home run

Recent Form · Last 10 Games

Avg PA 4.0

5

@ ATL

6/17

4

@ MIA

6/19

5

@ MIA

6/20

3

@ MIA

6/21

4

vs OAK

6/23

4

vs OAK

6/24

4

vs OAK

6/25

4

vs ATL

6/26

3

vs ATL

6/27

4

vs ATL

6/28

Avg Singles 0.3

0

@ ATL

6/17

0

@ MIA

6/19

0

@ MIA

6/20

0

@ MIA

6/21

1

vs OAK

6/23

0

vs OAK

6/24

1

vs OAK

6/25

0

vs ATL

6/26

0

vs ATL

6/27

1

vs ATL

6/28

Avg Doubles 0.1

0

@ ATL

6/17

0

@ MIA

6/19

0

@ MIA

6/20

0

@ MIA

6/21

0

vs OAK

6/23

0

vs OAK

6/24

0

vs OAK

6/25

0

vs ATL

6/26

0

vs ATL

6/27

1

vs ATL

6/28

Avg Strikeouts 1.7

2

@ ATL

6/17

2

@ MIA

6/19

3

@ MIA

6/20

1

@ MIA

6/21

3

vs OAK

6/23

1

vs OAK

6/24

0

vs OAK

6/25

3

vs ATL

6/26

1

vs ATL

6/27

1

vs ATL

6/28

Avg Total Bases 0.5

0

@ ATL

6/17

0

@ MIA

6/19

0

@ MIA

6/20

0

@ MIA

6/21

1

vs OAK

6/23

0

vs OAK

6/24

1

vs OAK

6/25

0

vs ATL

6/26

0

vs ATL

6/27

3

vs ATL

6/28

Avg Walks 0.5

0

@ ATL

6/17

1

@ MIA

6/19

0

@ MIA

6/20

0

@ MIA

6/21

0

vs OAK

6/23

1

vs OAK

6/24

2

vs OAK

6/25

0

vs ATL

6/26

1

vs ATL

6/27

0

vs ATL

6/28