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Carson Kelly Home Run Odds Today · Dinger Data

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Carson Kelly

Matchup signals

Chicago CubsCRHB · #15

Opponent

SD

Pitcher

Canning

HR/9

0.00

Stats

Simulator

Home Run Performance · Last 5 Games

17

2025

Full Season HR

Home Runs Projection

Projection, line, over/under, and book odds for home runs tonight.

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Stats

0.256

AVG

0.383

OBP

0.513

SLG

0.896

OPS

2

HR

12.8%

K%

17.0%

BB%

2

Barrels

9

Hard-Hit

Season Splits

Split	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	K%
vs LHP	77	.328	.416	.552	.968	3	15.6%
vs RHP	141	.248	.333	.304	.637	1	16.3%
Home	107	.298	.383	.394	.777	2	19.6%
Away	111	.255	.342	.388	.730	2	12.6%
Day Games	103	.289	.379	.433	.812	3	15.5%
Night Games	115	.265	.348	.353	.701	1	16.5%
June	58	.240	.345	.440	.785	2	12.1%
Monday	20	.278	.350	.333	.683	0	25.0%

Today's Matchup

8:05 PM · Wrigley Field

Opposing Pitcher

Griffin CanningSDRHP

0 HR allowed

-.--

ERA

1.44

WHIP

0.00

HR/9

25.6%

FB%

25.0%

K%

15.3%

BB%

0.0%

HR/FB%

2.3%

Barrel%

Pitch Arsenal · Canning · vs RHB

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

Slider

87.1 mph

0

0.167

0.309

0.250

0.083

20.0%

43.8%

Sinker

93.7 mph

0

0.235

0.285

0.235

0.000

50.0%

5.0%

4-Seam FB

94.4 mph

0

0.333

0.373

0.333

0.000

33.3%

54.5%

Changeup

90.0 mph

0

0.333

0.373

0.333

0.000

22.2%

0.0%

Cutter

89.3 mph

0

0.167

0.208

0.333

0.167

50.0%

0.0%

Sweeper

86.3 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Knuckle-Curve

81.1 mph

0

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.0%

20.0%

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Career H2H vs Canning

AB	AVG	SLG	HR	OPS
8	.000	.000	0	.000

Kelly vs Each Pitch

Pitch

Usage

HR

AVG

wOBA

SLG

ISO

HH%

K%

4-Seam FB

95.4 mph

0

0.333

0.411

0.370

0.037

45.8%

9.1%

Slider

87.6 mph

1

0.167

0.271

0.300

0.133

31.8%

24.2%

Sinker

94.3 mph

0

0.308

0.324

0.333

0.026

28.6%

9.3%

Sweeper

83.2 mph

0

0.143

0.154

0.214

0.071

12.5%

42.9%

Cutter

91.4 mph

0

0.333

0.373

0.333

0.000

50.0%

9.1%

Changeup

87.6 mph

0

—

—

—

—

0.0%

—

Curveball

78.4 mph

0

—

—

—

—

0.0%

—

Knuckle-Curve

83.9 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Splitter

83.9 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Eephus

44.0 mph

0

—

—

—

—

—

—

Crushes it

Struggles vs

Carson Kelly Exit Velocity

Balls in play only

Count

Arm

Pitch

83.4

L10 AB AVG EV (MPH)

10.0%

L10 AB BARREL%

88.4

'26 AVG EV (MPH)

6.4%

'26 BARREL%

Date	Pitcher	Arm	Type	EV	Angle	Dist	Bat Spd	Pitch Velo	Result
6/28	Kelly, Carson	R	Sinker	67.1	-29.0	4	66.7	96.2	field out
6/26	Kelly, Carson	R	Cutter	105.4	-6.0	22	72.8	97.0	field out
6/26	Kelly, Carson	R	Sinker	57.3	-43.0	3	66.2	99.6	field out
6/24	Kelly, Carson	R	Sinker	90.7	-25.0	4	71.5	95.7	field out
6/24	Kelly, Carson	R	4-Seam FB	102.6	-4.0	27	68.0	94.4	field error
6/24	Kelly, Carson	R	Cutter	102.0	0.0	51	72.7	91.9	grounded into double play
6/23	Kelly, Carson	R	4-Seam FB	84.4	33.0	313	71.2	91.8	double
6/19	Kelly, Carson	R	Slider	105.3	28.0	428	73.4	83.6	home run
6/19	Kelly, Carson	R	Sinker	55.1	-77.0	1	75.9	84.4	single
6/19	Kelly, Carson	R	Curveball	64.1	-20.0	5	71.2	83.8	field out

Recent Form · Last 10 Games

Avg PA 3.2

3

@ SF

6/14

0

vs COL

6/15

4

vs COL

6/17

6

vs TOR

6/19

4

@ NYM

6/23

5

@ NYM

6/24

1

@ NYM

6/25

4

@ MIL

6/26

4

@ MIL

6/27

1

@ MIL

6/28

Avg Singles 0.2

0

@ SF

6/14

0

vs COL

6/15

1

vs COL

6/17

1

vs TOR

6/19

0

@ NYM

6/23

0

@ NYM

6/24

0

@ NYM

6/25

0

@ MIL

6/26

0

@ MIL

6/27

0

@ MIL

6/28

Avg Doubles 0.4

0

@ SF

6/14

0

vs COL

6/15

1

vs COL

6/17

0

vs TOR

6/19

1

@ NYM

6/23

1

@ NYM

6/24

0

@ NYM

6/25

0

@ MIL

6/26

1

@ MIL

6/27

0

@ MIL

6/28

Avg Strikeouts 0.3

0

@ SF

6/14

0

vs COL

6/15

1

vs COL

6/17

1

vs TOR

6/19

0

@ NYM

6/23

0

@ NYM

6/24

0

@ NYM

6/25

1

@ MIL

6/26

0

@ MIL

6/27

0

@ MIL

6/28

Avg Total Bases 1.4

0

@ SF

6/14

0

vs COL

6/15

3

vs COL

6/17

5

vs TOR

6/19

2

@ NYM

6/23

2

@ NYM

6/24

0

@ NYM

6/25

0

@ MIL

6/26

2

@ MIL

6/27

0

@ MIL

6/28

Avg Walks 0.6

0

@ SF

6/14

0

vs COL

6/15

0

vs COL

6/17

2

vs TOR

6/19

2

@ NYM

6/23

0

@ NYM

6/24

0

@ NYM

6/25

1

@ MIL

6/26

1

@ MIL

6/27

0

@ MIL

6/28